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城市设计
基于社交感知的城市内涝识别与韧性治理 ——以北京“7·21”特大暴雨为例
付小康 黄 啸 乔梦玲 陈康琳 王东阳 王艳东
Social Sensing-Based Identification of Urban Waterlogging and Resilience Governance: A Case Study of the July 21, 2012 Beijing Rainstorm
Xiaokang Fu, Xiao Huang, Mengling Qiao, Kanglin Chen, Dongyang Wang, Yandong Wang
摘要 气候变化背景下,极端降雨频发对城市安全构成严峻挑战。传统物理传感器监测网络存在覆盖盲区大、维护成 本高等问题,难以满足韧性城市建设对灾害实时感知的需求。本文引入社交感知(social sensing)视角,利 用深度学习技术构建融合图像视觉特征与文本情感特征的多模态迁移学习模型,对社交媒体(微博)数据进行 挖掘,实现城市道路积水点的道路尺度定位与积水程度的三等级粗分级。以2012年北京“7·21”特大暴雨为 例,研究表明该模型在对交通部门发布积水点的召回率达到约60%的同时,能够有效识别出官方监测数据之外 的积水隐患点,补充了传统监测在空间上的覆盖盲区。基于此,本文提出构建“物理—社会”双重传感网络、 支撑存量排水设施的针对性更新以及建立以人为本的应急响应机制等策略,为提升城市防灾减灾能力和实现精 细化韧性治理提供科学依据。
关键词 社交感知多模态城市内涝韧性城市城市治理    
Abstract:Against the backdrop of climate change, the increasing frequency of extreme rainfall poses severe challenges to urban safety. Traditional monitoring networks based on physical sensors suffer from large coverage gaps and high maintenance costs, making it difficult to meet the demand for real-time disaster perception in resilient city building. Adopting a social sensing perspective, this study develops a multimodal transfer learning model that fuses visual features from images and sentiment features from text to mine social media (Weibo) data for precise localization of urban waterlogging points and assessment of their severity. Using the July 21, 2012 Beijing rainstorm as a case study, the results show that the proposed model achieves a recall rate of about 60% for waterlogging points released by the transportation department, while effectively identifying additional hidden waterlogging locations beyond the official monitoring network and thus complementing its spatial and informational blind spots. Based on these findings, the paper proposes strategies such as building an integrated “physical–social” dual sensing network, optimizing the layout of existing drainage facilities, and establishing people-centered emergency response mechanisms, providing a scientific basis for enhanced disaster prevention and mitigation and refined resilience-oriented urban governance.
Key wordsSocial sensing    Multimodal    Urban waterlogging    Resilient city    City governance
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